Medicanes and its Metrological Effects in the Mediterranean Sea: Case Study of Medicane IANOS

Mohamed M. Abouelnasr, Akram S. Elselmy

Abstract


A rising amount of data suggests that human-produced greenhouse gases (GHGs) are altering the Earth's climate. Past metrological events can be used for studying and calibrating the prediction models to predict future extreme events and their effect on coastal flooding due to wave heights and storm surges in the Mediterranean Sea. The paper studies the past and future Medicanes and its metrological effects in the Mediterranean Sea to achieve a sustainable resilient infrastructure perspective in the Mediterranean ports for climate adaptation. DHI MIKE21 SW and HD FM numerical modules are used to study past extreme events of Medicane Ianos and predict future extreme events. This simulation is prepared to study the future and past extreme events of eastern Medicanes, and their effect on oceanographic wave heights and storm surges generated in the Mediterranean Sea. The predicted significant wave height (Hs) within the eastern part of the Mediterranean Sea can reach up to twelve meters, which can cause severe damage to offshore and nearshore infrastructure. The predicted storm surge (Ss) within the eastern part of the Mediterranean Sea reaches 40 centimeters, which can cause coastal flooding, unpredicted wave runup, overtopping and civilian coastal incidents. The result of the analysis shows that performing a regular risk assessment by numerically studying the effect of climate change on extreme atmospheric events for Mediterranean Sea is essential to achieving a sustainable resilient infrastructure perspective for Mediterranean ports. It is recommended to perform a regular risk assessment of the effect of climate change on extreme atmospheric events for the Mediterranean Sea.

Keywords


Sustainable Infrastructure, Medicanes, Mediterranean Sea, Flood Management, Extreme Events, Risk Assessment.

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References


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DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.21622/MARLOG.2024.13.1.71

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The International Maritime Transport and Logistics Journal (MARLOG)

E-ISSN: 2974-3141
P-ISSN: 2974-3133

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Arab Academy for Science, Technology and Maritime Transport (AASTMT)

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